Brie Bryson
:
September 22, 2026
Author Note:
This whitepaper is intended for financial institutions and AML/CFT compliance professionals. It is based on publicly available trend information and should support, not replace, each institution’s enterprise-wide risk assessment, customer risk rating methodology, transaction monitoring governance, and suspicious activity reporting procedures.
The significant decline in suspected human smuggling-related BSA reporting in 2025 should not be viewed as evidence that the risk has decreased. Instead, it raises an important monitoring question: have illicit networks adapted in ways that make the activity harder for traditional detection methods to identify?
Filing volume is a visibility metric, not a risk metric. A drop in reported activity may mean smuggling networks are moving through channels that are harder to detect, breaking activity into routine-looking transactions, or exploiting gaps in scenarios that do not connect typologies, geography, counterparties, and customer behavior.